Re-alignment
April 20th, 2010As everyone knows, anything couold happen in this election. But some scenarious are intriguing:
1 If Clegg can hold his own in the second debate, aided further by significant new registrations to vote up to today’s deadline especially by younger persons intending to vote Lib Dem, he could find himself atop a commanding third bloc of seats in the Commons with neither of the two main parties close to an overall majority. He could then:
either (i) refuse to join either of the two bigger parties and seek to constrain a minority government in the direction of key concessions to Lib Dem policy,
or (ii) throw his weight behind whichever party gained the most seats, but only on the basis of certain concessions, particularly electoral reform. (more…)

